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Stephan Kueffner is a freelance journalist based in Quito, Ecuador.
Portfolio
Ecuador Bonds Jump as Voters Back Noboa’s Anti-Mafia Measures
Ecuador's bonds surged after voters approved President Daniel Noboa's security measures in a referendum, reflecting strong support for his anti-drug cartel policies. Despite the approval of these measures, voters rejected economic reforms, indicating resistance to market-friendly changes. Noboa's popularity remains high due to his security initiatives, although his mandate for economic reforms is weakened. The anticipation of a new deal with the International Monetary Fund is driving Ecuador's debt performance. The referendum results suggest Noboa remains a frontrunner for the upcoming election, though his economic policies face significant challenges.
Ecuador Gets Pledge of US Aid to Fight Cartel Terror Campaign
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa announced that the US has pledged aid to help combat a terror campaign by drug traffickers. This follows a meeting with US Ambassador Fitzpatrick. The crisis, marked by increased violence and hostage situations, has led to a state of emergency in Ecuador. The US expressed concern and readiness to assist, while Ecuador's government continues to implement measures to control trafficking routes. The situation has significantly impacted daily life, with schools closed and public offices working remotely.
Ecuador’s Noboa Seeks Extradition, Arbitration in Referendum
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa has submitted nine additional questions for a planned referendum, including those on extradition and arbitration, to the Constitutional Court. Noboa aims to boost foreign investment by expanding international arbitration options and seeks voter approval for the extradition of Ecuadorian citizens and asset seizure from criminals. He also proposes revoking mining concessions in national interest areas to combat illegal mining and broadening his legislative powers to include temporary hourly work contracts.
Ecuador’s Noboa Seeks Extradition, Arbitration in Referendum
Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has submitted nine additional questions for a planned referendum, including those on extradition and arbitration, to the Constitutional Court. The referendum aims to boost foreign investment by broadening international arbitration options and seeks voter approval for the extradition of Ecuadorian citizens and asset seizure from criminals. Noboa also proposes revoking mining concessions in national interest areas to combat illegal mining and expanding his legislative powers to include fast-track legislation beyond economic issues. Additionally, he aims to allow temporary contracts with hourly work for Ecuadorians.
Cooling condo market will make housing affordability worse, Minto CEO says
A cooling market for investment condos is likely to exacerbate housing affordability issues, according to the CEO of Minto, a major housing developer.
Google Nears $23 Billion Deal for Cybersecurity Firm Wiz, WSJ Reports
Google parent Alphabet Inc. is in advanced negotiations to acquire cybersecurity startup Wiz for approximately $23 billion, according to sources cited by the Wall Street Journal.
Ecuador Bonds Rebound Thanks to $4 Billion Loan Agreement with the IMF
Ecuador's bonds led a rebound among emerging market peers following a technical agreement with the IMF for a four-year loan of approximately $4 billion. The 2030 bonds rose to their highest level since June 2022. This agreement aims to help Ecuador keep up with its $16 billion in outstanding bonds and follows a successful previous $7.5 billion IMF deal. President Daniel Noboa, who took office after Guillermo Lasso dissolved parliament, has been dealing with public spending control, oil production, and internal conflicts with drug traffickers. Despite these challenges, bonds have performed well, and Noboa's market-friendly policies have boosted his popularity and fiscal deficit reduction commitments.
Ecuador's Bonds Rise After Referendum Results: Here's What Investors Say
Ecuador's bonds rose following the approval of security measures in a referendum, reflecting strong support for President Daniel Noboa's anti-narcotics policies. Despite the rejection of economic reforms, the results indicate broad backing for Noboa, with a 70% approval rating. Investors view the referendum as a key indicator of support for Noboa's administration. The anticipation of a new agreement with the IMF is driving bond performance, although political uncertainty remains as elections approach. Noboa's popularity surged after declaring a state of emergency to combat organized crime, but economic challenges persist.
Noboa Seeks Tax Increase in Ecuador to Finance War on Drug Cartels
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa has proposed a tax increase, raising VAT from 12% to 15%, to fund security measures against drug cartels. The government expects this to generate significant revenue, with the tax hike intended as a permanent solution. Ecuador's dollar bonds saw a positive response, while S&P Global Ratings downgraded the country's debt outlook due to the security crisis. Finance Minister Juan Carlos Vega plans to negotiate with the IMF for loans, as the fiscal deficit has increased. The National Assembly, which has previously supported Noboa, passed two economic fast-track bills and backed his declaration of a 'non-international armed conflict'.
Mining Industry Sees a Way to Navigate Narco Crisis in Ecuador
Ecuador's mining industry, including companies like Lundin Gold Inc. and Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., is maintaining operations amidst the country's narco crisis by increasing security measures. Despite challenges such as illegal mining and environmental concerns, the industry is collaborating with authorities and has not seen companies exit due to the security situation. Regulatory improvements and government reforms, including a national referendum on market-friendly measures, are also underway. The industry is navigating the crisis with a focus on continuing development projects and production.
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