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Stephan Kueffner is a freelance journalist based in Quito, Ecuador.
Portfolio
Fading Star of Ecuador’s Great New Hope Stalls Bond Rally
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa, once a market favorite for his economic reforms, is losing support ahead of the upcoming election, impacting the nation's bond market. His initial policies led to significant investor returns, but recent challenges have diminished his popularity and affected bond performance. JPMorgan & Chase data highlights a reduction in the risk premium for Ecuadorian debt, reflecting changing market sentiments.
Fading Star of Ecuador’s Great New Hope Stalls Bond Rally
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa, once a market favorite for his economic reforms, is losing support ahead of the upcoming election, affecting the nation's bond market. His policies initially led to significant returns on Ecuador's debt, but recent setbacks have diminished his popularity and stalled the bond rally. The risk premium on Ecuadorian bonds has decreased significantly, as reported by JPMorgan & Chase.
Fading Star of Ecuador’s Great New Hope Stalls Bond Rally
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa, once a market favorite for his economic reforms, faces declining support ahead of the upcoming election, impacting the nation's bond market. Despite initial successes in raising taxes and cutting subsidies, Noboa's popularity has waned due to economic setbacks and prolonged blackouts. The possibility of a left-wing candidate winning the election raises concerns of a policy shift, reminiscent of past administrations. Investors are wary of potential defaults, and Noboa's party struggles to secure a congressional majority to support his agenda. The situation underscores the uncertainty in Ecuador's political and economic landscape.
A suspended vice president and a disqualified candidate mark Ecuador's political agenda
Ecuador's political landscape is marked by the suspension of Vice President Verónica Abad and the disqualification of conservative candidate Jan Topic. President Daniel Noboa faces criticism for his political decisions, including replacing Abad with Sariha Moya and the Tribunal Contencioso Electoral's ruling against Topic. Abad accuses Noboa of sidelining her to avoid transferring power, while Topic blames Noboa for his disqualification. The country grapples with power outages and economic challenges, with Noboa's popularity previously bolstered by his crime-fighting measures. The political tensions highlight constitutional concerns and the struggle for power within Ecuador's government.
Ecuador Bonds Jump as Voters Back Noboa’s Anti-Mafia Measures
Ecuador's bonds surged after voters approved President Daniel Noboa's security measures in a referendum, reflecting strong support for his anti-drug cartel policies. Despite the approval of these measures, voters rejected economic reforms, indicating resistance to market-friendly changes. Noboa's popularity remains high due to his security initiatives, although his mandate for economic reforms is weakened. The anticipation of a new deal with the International Monetary Fund is driving Ecuador's debt performance. The referendum results suggest Noboa remains a frontrunner for the upcoming election, though his economic policies face significant challenges.
Ecuador Gets Pledge of US Aid to Fight Cartel Terror Campaign
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa announced that the US has pledged aid to help combat a terror campaign by drug traffickers. This follows a meeting with US Ambassador Fitzpatrick. The crisis, marked by increased violence and hostage situations, has led to a state of emergency in Ecuador. The US expressed concern and readiness to assist, while Ecuador's government continues to implement measures to control trafficking routes. The situation has significantly impacted daily life, with schools closed and public offices working remotely.
Ecuador’s Noboa Sweeps His Vice President Aside in Electoral Dispute
President Daniel Noboa of Ecuador has removed Vice President Veronica Abad, citing her delayed relocation to Turkey, amid political tensions and electoral disputes. The Electoral Disputes Court disqualified conservative candidate Jan Topic due to conflicts of interest, prompting criticism from various political figures, including former President Guillermo Lasso. Noboa's administration faces challenges, including power grid issues and a looming recession, as he prepares for re-election. The political landscape is further complicated by accusations of constitutional violations and strategic alliances with left-wing parties.
Ecuador’s Noboa Seeks Extradition, Arbitration in Referendum
Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa has submitted nine additional questions for a planned referendum, including those on extradition and arbitration, to the Constitutional Court. Noboa aims to boost foreign investment by expanding international arbitration options and seeks voter approval for the extradition of Ecuadorian citizens and asset seizure from criminals. He also proposes revoking mining concessions in national interest areas to combat illegal mining and broadening his legislative powers to include temporary hourly work contracts.
Ecuador’s Noboa Seeks Extradition, Arbitration in Referendum
Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has submitted nine additional questions for a planned referendum, including those on extradition and arbitration, to the Constitutional Court. The referendum aims to boost foreign investment by broadening international arbitration options and seeks voter approval for the extradition of Ecuadorian citizens and asset seizure from criminals. Noboa also proposes revoking mining concessions in national interest areas to combat illegal mining and expanding his legislative powers to include fast-track legislation beyond economic issues. Additionally, he aims to allow temporary contracts with hourly work for Ecuadorians.
Cooling condo market will make housing affordability worse, Minto CEO says
A cooling market for investment condos is likely to exacerbate housing affordability issues, according to the CEO of Minto, a major housing developer.
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