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Jonathan Gorvett

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About Jonathan
Jonathan Gorvett is a journalist specialising in Eastern Mediterranean, Middle East and Gulf affairs.
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English
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Is Cava country losing its sparkle?

23 Apr 2024  |  www.theneweuropean.co.uk
Catalonia's Cava industry is facing a severe challenge due to the worst drought in memory, with around a third of the vines in the region dead from thirst. Celler Cairons has lost about a quarter of its vines, and the next two months are critical for the survival of the remaining plants. The drought has affected both large and small producers, with the older vines suffering more due to their deeper roots. The impact of the drought on production volumes will likely be seen next year. Local residents and producers are hoping for more rain to alleviate the situation.

Kuwait's prime minister announces ambitious government programme amid economic challenges

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
Kuwait's new government, led by Prime Minister Sheikh Ahmad Nawaf al-Ahmad al-Sabah, has announced a four-year programme with 107 projects, including infrastructure developments and the creation of a new sovereign wealth fund named Ciyada. This fund will focus on domestic investments and complement the existing Future Generations Fund and General Reserve Fund managed by the Kuwait Investment Authority. A key challenge for the government is passing a long-stalled public debt law, which is crucial for financing budget deficits. Kuwait has faced budget deficits for most of the past decade, exacerbated by the 2020-2021 oil price drop due to COVID-19. The IMF has suggested phasing out energy subsidies, and the government has three options to address future deficits: raising new revenue, drawing on the Future Generations Fund, or raising debt. However, political opposition and recent ministerial resignations indicate challenges ahead for the government's agenda.

Gulf steel has a keen edge on Chinese and Indian rivals

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
Gulf steel producers are positioned to gain a competitive edge over Chinese and Indian rivals due to their lower-carbon production methods and access to renewable energy and hydrogen. The Gulf's use of electric arc, direct reduced iron technology, which relies on hydrocarbon off-gases and hydrogen instead of coal, results in lower carbon emissions. This is significant as the steel sector accounts for about 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions. The region's steel demand is driven by mega-construction and infrastructure projects, such as Saudi Arabia's Neom project. Global commodities giants like Vale are investing in the Gulf to establish steel decarbonisation hubs. The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, which taxes embedded emissions, could further enhance the Gulf's cost competitiveness. However, challenges such as the need for desalinated water and competition from countries with more renewable energy in their grids remain.

Talking Türkiye

04 Apr 2024  |  wrmea.org
The article 'Talking Türkiye' by Jonathan Gorvett discusses the political landscape in Türkiye following the re-election of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) for a third term. It highlights the challenges faced by the opposition parties, including the Republican People’s Party (CHP), Iyi (Good) Party, and the Peoples’ Equality and Democracy Party (HEDEP), formerly known as the Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP). The CHP has replaced its leader with Ozgur Ozel in hopes of revitalizing the party, while the Iyi Party struggles with an identity crisis and defections. HEDEP faces the threat of government intervention in local governance. The article also touches on the broader issues of populism and the crisis of liberal democracy, suggesting that opposition parties need new ideas to effectively challenge the status quo.

Aramco workers at Saudi Arabia's $21 billion Jazan refinery: it is one of a number of refineries Gulf countries are investing in

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
Gulf states are significantly expanding their oil refining capacities as part of their diversification strategies and in pursuit of higher value-added products. Despite the move towards net zero and reducing reliance on petroleum and natural gas, these expansions are seen as hedges against future hydrocarbon volatility. Major projects include Kuwait's Az-Zour Refinery, Saudi Arabia's Aramco's Jazan refinery, and Oman's Duqm Refinery, with investments also being made in the green economy to balance emissions. The expansions are expected to continue despite short-term fluctuations in demand and pricing, with the Gulf states benefiting from high oil prices to fund these projects. The article also highlights the integration of refinery output with petrochemical and plastics production, which is less exposed to the energy transition.

Bahrain News Agency Bapco Energies is responsible for around 70-80% of the Bahraini government’s entire revenue stream

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
Bahrain is restructuring its oil and gas sector by rebranding its oil and gas holding company as Bapco Energies, aiming to improve efficiencies and transition towards a low-carbon future. The reorganization includes integrating various entities under Bapco Energies, such as the Bahrain Petroleum Company refinery and Tatweer Petroleum. Bapco Energies, formerly known as Nogaholding, is crucial for Bahrain's economy, contributing to 70-80% of the government's revenue. Bahrain faces challenges like ageing oil fields, the need to manage public debt, and adapting to the energy transition. The Bapco refinery is undergoing a $7 billion modernization to process heavier crudes and reduce emissions. New gas discoveries and the potential development of the Khalej Al-Bahrain shale oil field are also part of Bahrain's strategy to address its economic and energy challenges. The government is working towards a three-year transition to reorganize the energy sector, focusing on renewables, new technologies, and compliance with a new energy strategy.

GCC now major exporter

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
The article discusses the current state and future prospects of the aluminium industry, with a focus on the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. Despite soft global aluminium prices and waning demand, the GCC has become a significant exporter of aluminium, with nearly 8% of the global market share. The region's production capacity has increased dramatically, from 120,000 tonnes in 1971 to approximately 6.1 million tonnes today. The article highlights the GCC's competitive advantage due to cheap natural gas-generated electricity, which has enabled the production of cost-effective aluminium. However, the region relies on imported bauxite and alumina, with limited local production. China's production cap and global decarbonisation efforts may lead to increased demand for GCC aluminium. The article also touches on the potential of recycling initiatives, like the one by Kings Aluminium Industries, to meet future supply needs and reduce emissions.

Copper price traditionally volatile

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
The article discusses the volatility of copper prices and the potential for price increases due to supply issues and rising demand. The Middle East, particularly the UAE and Saudi Arabia, are major consumers of copper and are investing in local resource development and overseas mining ventures. The region accounts for about 5 percent of global copper consumption but has minimal production capacity. The article highlights the impact of global economic growth, speculation, and political events on copper prices. It also addresses the challenges of recycling copper and the under-investment in new mining projects. The article suggests that copper shortages could arise, prompting Gulf countries to invest in copper exploration and development, with Saudi Arabia's Ma'aden at the forefront.

Oman is dedicating an area the size of Slovakia to solar power projects to produce green hydrogen

04 Apr 2024  |  agbi.com
Oman is investing heavily in renewable energy to become a leading exporter of green hydrogen, dedicating an area the size of Slovakia for solar power projects. The country has signed contracts worth $20 billion with BP, Shell, and Hydrogen Oman (Hydrom) to produce green hydrogen, aiming to export 500,000 tonnes annually. By 2050, Oman's green hydrogen exports could be worth double its current LNG exports. However, challenges such as transportation, regulation, and market development remain. Other Gulf nations are also investing in various types of hydrogen, with strategies differing from Oman's state-involved approach. The global market for hydrogen is still evolving, with potential for local demand to shape the industry in the near term.

Lithium’s highs and lows – and what they mean for the Gulf

01 Apr 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Lithium prices have experienced significant volatility, with an 80% drop from 2022 to 2024 due to oversupply and lower-than-expected demand for electric vehicles (EVs), particularly in China. This has implications for the Gulf region, where Saudi Arabia and the UAE are investing in lithium production and EV development as part of their energy transition strategies. Key players in the lithium market include SQM and Albemarle, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE are exploring innovative extraction methods, including seawater and oil well brine. The region's abundant renewable energy resources and low-cost fossil fuels support ambitions to build a robust battery supply chain.

Lithium’s highs and lows – and what they mean for the Gulf

01 Apr 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Lithium prices have experienced significant volatility, with an 80% drop from their peak in 2022 due to oversupply and lower-than-expected demand for electric vehicles (EVs), particularly in China. This fluctuation impacts the Gulf region, where Saudi Arabia and the UAE are investing in lithium production and EV development as part of their energy transition strategies. Key players in the lithium market include Chile's SQM and the US's Albemarle. Saudi Arabia is exploring lithium extraction from seawater and oil well brine, while the UAE is focusing on industrial development and EV manufacturing. Analysts predict that as the EV market matures, lithium demand will stabilize, supported by the region's access to renewable energy and low-cost fossil fuels.

Crypto miners see ‘enormous potential’ in the Gulf

01 Apr 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Cryptocurrency miners are increasingly attracted to the Gulf region due to cheap electricity, established infrastructure, and a tech-savvy population. Despite regulatory challenges in some Gulf countries, the region is seeing significant growth in Bitcoin mining operations. The UAE and Oman have established regulatory frameworks and invested heavily in IT education, making them favorable locations for mining. Innovations in cooling technologies and the availability of renewable energy are also contributing to the expansion of mining operations in the region. Larger mining companies in the Gulf are well-positioned to weather the recent Bitcoin halving and continue their growth.

Gaza Horror Prompts Rapprochement Between Türkiye and Regional Adversaries

11 Mar 2024  |  WRMEA
Türkiye, under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is experiencing a shift in foreign relations, moving towards rapprochement with regional adversaries partly due to the conflict in Gaza. This change reflects a departure from previous tensions in the Aegean, Eastern Mediterranean, and North Africa, where Türkiye's military and political involvement often clashed with the interests of countries like Egypt, France, and the UAE. Recent economic challenges have necessitated foreign investment, leading to improved relations with the Gulf states, exemplified by a $4.9 billion currency swap deal with the UAE. Despite the current easing of tensions and strategic partnerships, long-standing issues such as maritime disputes with Greece and the Cyprus problem remain unresolved. The thaw in relations is seen as a positive development by those weary of prolonged regional discord.

Uranium prices rise with demand for nuclear power

26 Feb 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Uranium prices have doubled over the past year due to increased demand for nuclear power and years of underinvestment. Countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expanding their nuclear capabilities, with Saudi Arabia aiming to use domestic uranium resources. The global supply chain faces challenges, including sulphuric acid shortages and sanctions on Russia's Rosatom. Analysts predict a surge in uranium exploration and mining to meet future demand, despite past underinvestment following the Fukushima disaster.

Gulf steel has a keen edge on Chinese and Indian rivals

01 Feb 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Gulf steel makers are poised to gain a competitive edge over Chinese and Indian rivals due to their lower-carbon production methods, driven by the region's abundant renewable energy and hydrogen projects. The Gulf's economic diversification and mega-construction projects are boosting local steel demand, with Saudi Arabia's Neom project alone requiring 4 million metric tonnes of steel. While China and India dominate global steel production, their coal-based methods are less environmentally friendly compared to the Gulf's electric arc and direct reduced iron technology. Challenges include water supply and competition from countries with more renewable energy. The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism may further enhance Gulf steel's competitiveness.

Saudi Arabia joins the dots from minerals to manufacturing

01 Feb 2024  |  www.agbi.com
Saudi Arabia is rapidly expanding its supply chain strategy to integrate minerals and manufacturing, aiming to establish a comprehensive value chain within the country. Key players like Maaden and the Public Investment Fund are driving this initiative, leveraging cheap and low-carbon energy to create cost-effective and environmentally friendly products. The kingdom's ambitious plans include developing local electric vehicle brands and enhancing its aluminium and steel production capabilities. While the strategy is progressing quickly, experts emphasize the importance of prioritizing and sequencing projects to ensure sustainable development.

Climate change has driven India’s rabbitfish to Cyprus

22 Nov 2023  |  theneweuropean.co.uk
The article discusses the arrival of the rabbitfish, a species native to the Indian Ocean, to the Mediterranean Sea, particularly in Cyprus. Due to the Mediterranean's rising temperatures, which are increasing at a rate 10 times the global average, tropical species like the rabbitfish are migrating into the area and impacting native species by consuming large amounts of native algae, which are crucial for other species and act as carbon sinks. In Cyprus, instead of trying to eradicate these invasive species, locals have opted to include them in their diet. The article also touches on the socio-political context of Cyprus, mentioning the UN-patrolled buffer zone and the Turkish Cypriot exclave. It concludes with the author's personal experience of cooking and enjoying rabbitfish as a response to climate change.

The civil war on the Ebro

26 Sep 2023  |  theneweuropean.co.uk
The article describes a visit to La Trinxera, a private museum in Corbera d’Ebre, Catalonia, which houses a collection of artifacts from the Spanish Civil War. The collection includes items such as weapons, uniforms, and personal items, many of which were found by the museum's owner, Pere Sans. The article recounts Sans's efforts in bomb disposal and his determination to find the remains of Robert Merriman, a leader of the US volunteers. The piece also touches on the history of the Battle of the Ebro, the role of the International Brigades, and the aftermath of the Republicans' defeat. It concludes with reflections on the civil war's ongoing relevance, especially in light of the rise of the political party Vox, which the author refers to as 'Spain's new franquistas'.

Talking Türkiye

01 Aug 2023  |  wrmea.org
In the article 'Talking Türkiye,' Jonathan Gorvett discusses the political landscape of Türkiye following the re-election of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in May 2023. Erdogan's victory, which coincided with the centennial of the Turkish Republic, was seen as a symbol of defiance against Western influence and a continuation of his party's power, the Justice and Development Party (AKP). The article highlights the AKP's extensive patronage network, control over media, and economic strategies, such as salary raises for public workers and a rebuilding program for earthquake-hit areas, which contributed to Erdogan's win. The opposition, a coalition named the Nation Alliance, faced internal struggles and failed to present a unified vision, leading to their defeat. The article also touches on the future political landscape, with local elections approaching and Erdogan's potential exit due to term limits.

Catalonia Can’t Quit Madrid

20 May 2023  |  foreignpolicy.com
The article discusses the waning momentum of the Catalan independence movement in Spain, particularly in the town of Altafulla. It highlights the historical context of Catalonia's quest for independence and the significant events that have shaped its current political landscape, such as the 2017 independence referendum and the subsequent crackdown by Spanish authorities. The piece also touches on the internal divisions among pro-independence parties and the impact of international events like the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine on the independence movement. The upcoming municipal elections and the EU Court of Justice's ruling on the extradition of Catalan exiles are presented as potential turning points for the separatist cause. Despite the decline in support for independence, the article suggests that a strong sense of Catalan identity persists among the population.

Talking Türkiye

01 May 2023  |  wrmea.org
The article by Jonathan Gorvett in the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs discusses the aftermath of the devastating earthquakes that struck Türkiye on February 6, 2023. The quakes resulted in over 48,448 deaths in Türkiye and around 6,000 in Syria. The article highlights the grief and shock experienced by the victims and survivors, as well as the widespread anger over poor governance and lack of enforcement of building regulations that could have mitigated the disaster's impact. It also touches on the political implications, with the Turkish government facing criticism for its disaster response and the upcoming general election. Despite the tragedy, there has been a notable outpouring of solidarity and aid from both domestic and international sources, including traditional adversaries. The article also explores the potential for improved Kurdish-Turkish relations in the wake of the disaster, as evidenced by the PKK's ceasefire and the aid provided by Kurdish organizations.

Gibraltar's Future Hangs in the Balance Amid Brexit Uncertainty

05 Apr 2023  |  theneweuropean.co.uk
The article discusses the uncertain future of Gibraltar, a British overseas territory, in the aftermath of Brexit. Despite numerous negotiations, Gibraltar's residents are still unsure about their future relationship with the EU and Spain. The territory, which voted overwhelmingly to remain in the EU, faces potential challenges such as the end of interim trade and movement arrangements with Spain, property price surges, and the impact on local businesses. The Spanish government acknowledges the negative consequences of a 'no deal' scenario for both Gibraltar and the surrounding Spanish region. Political changes in Spain, with upcoming elections and the possibility of a right-wing government, add to the uncertainty. Gibraltarians fear sovereignty claims over Gibraltar and are concerned about the management of their airport post-Brexit. The article highlights the anxiety and anticipation of Gibraltarians as they await a resolution to their liminal status.

Net Zero: More Than Just Carbon Neutrality

05 Apr 2023  |  agbi.com
The article discusses the concept of 'net zero,' a term that has gained significant popularity among governments and corporations, with many countries and companies adopting net zero strategies. Net zero refers to the balance between greenhouse gases emitted and those removed from the atmosphere. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change defines it as a state where the amount of greenhouse gases going into the atmosphere is equal to the amount being removed. The article explains that net zero is different from zero emissions or carbon neutrality, as it includes all greenhouse gases, not just carbon. Techniques for achieving net zero include direct air capture and storage, as well as planting trees. The article also mentions that countries like Bhutan and Suriname have achieved net negative status, and it provides an example of the UAE's Adnoc's Habshan carbon capture and storage project.

Phosphate mining in Morocco: the country holds around 70 percent of the world’s total reserves of phosphate rock

05 Apr 2023  |  agbi.com
The article discusses the dominance of Morocco and Saudi Arabia in the global phosphate mining industry. Morocco holds around 70% of the world's phosphate reserves, with the state-owned enterprise OCP managing a significant portion of the global trade. Saudi Arabia, through the mining company Ma'aden, is rapidly expanding its phosphate industry, leveraging its natural gas reserves to produce ammonia for fertilizer processing. The article also touches on the geopolitical and market shifts affecting the industry, such as the depletion of reserves in other countries, the impact of the Ukraine invasion on Russian supplies, and the US import duties on Moroccan phosphates. Both countries are expanding their capacities, with Morocco investing in green energy and desalination for sustainable production and planning to enter the electric vehicle battery market with lithium-ferro-phosphate batteries.

Ireland’s Neutrality Is a Hard Habit to Break

31 Mar 2023  |  foreignpolicy.com
The article discusses Ireland's struggle with its long-standing principle of neutrality in the face of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While there is widespread support for Ukraine, the idea of providing military aid is controversial due to Ireland's history of non-involvement in foreign wars. The Irish government has condemned the war and increased humanitarian aid, but its military capabilities are lacking. A defense review highlighted Ireland's inability to protect its own territory, and there is pressure to reconsider the policy of neutrality. The taoiseach, Micheal Martin, has indicated that neutrality could change. The article also touches on Ireland's non-participation in NATO and the EU's defense initiatives, as well as the potential need for a constitutional referendum to change Ireland's stance on military activities. The public opinion is divided, with some polls showing a shift towards supporting a European defense force, while others maintain the desire for neutrality. The article concludes with the uncertainty of Ireland's position, as it tries to reconcile its foundational principles with the current geopolitical landscape.

Erdogan faces early election dilemma

06 Jan 2023  |  asiatimes.com
The article discusses the economic crisis in Turkey, focusing on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's controversial economic policies, including the decision to support the Turkish lira with state funds and cover foreign exchange losses on certain bank deposits. Despite initial positive reactions, the lira's value has continued to fluctuate, and the country faces high inflation and price rises. The government's economic decisions are seen as politically motivated, aiming to maintain power. Erdogan faces a dilemma over whether to call a snap election before the scheduled date in June 2023. The article also touches on the political pressure on the opposition, with potential crackdowns and legal actions against opposition figures. The economic situation and political tensions are creating a challenging environment for Erdogan and his party as the 100th anniversary of the Turkish Republic approaches.

Talking Türkiye

01 Jan 2023  |  wrmea.org
The article by Jonathan Gorvett discusses the recent political maneuvers of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, both domestically and internationally, ahead of the June 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections in Türkiye. Erdogan has made surprising overtures to former regional adversaries, including Egypt, Syria, and Israel, while also attempting to engage with Kurdish political movements within Türkiye. However, a bombing in Istanbul has led to a crackdown on Kurdish groups and a tightening of media censorship laws. The Turkish economy is struggling with high inflation and a weak currency, but Erdogan has introduced new policies to win over voters. The opposition faces challenges in uniting behind a single candidate and dealing with the pro-Kurdish HDP's role in the alliance. The article also touches on Türkiye's strategic relations with Russia and Iran amidst regional tensions and economic needs.

Must Northern Ireland’s pain go on for ever?

27 Nov 2022  |  theneweuropean.co.uk
The article discusses the aftermath of the Troubles in Northern Ireland, focusing on the personal story of Patricia Burns, whose father was killed in 1972. It highlights the ongoing struggle for justice and the impact of the Northern Ireland Troubles (Legacy and Reconciliation) Bill, which proposes to close current legal avenues for redress and offer amnesties for Troubles-era crimes. The bill faces widespread opposition from victims' groups, political parties, and international bodies, including the Council of Europe and the UK parliamentary committee on human rights. The article also touches on the broader implications for reconciliation and the controversy over the treatment of veterans, with the government's commitment to the bill being questioned. Patricia Burns' case is emblematic of the challenges faced by many seeking truth and justice for past violence.

Talking Türkiye

01 Oct 2022  |  wrmea.org
The article by Jonathan Gorvett discusses the political climate in Turkey ahead of the 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections. It highlights the significance of the elections as a pivotal moment for Turkey's future direction, either towards further authoritarianism under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan or a potential shift if the opposition succeeds. The economic challenges facing Turkey, including high inflation and a devalued currency, are emphasized as key issues influencing voter sentiment. The Justice and Development Party (AKP), which has been in power since 2002, is now seen as the 'old guard' by many voters. The opposition, despite facing media control and intimidation by the government, has united into the Nation Alliance (NA) but has yet to decide on a joint presidential candidate. Erdogan's international diplomacy, particularly with Russia and Ukraine, is also discussed as a factor that could influence the election outcome. The article suggests that the Turkish elections could provide lessons for other countries experiencing democratic erosion.

A Northern Ireland Amnesty Bill Could Thwart Victims’ Fight for Justice

27 Jun 2022  |  worldpoliticsreview.com
Northern Ireland commemorates the 'Day of Reflection' annually on June 21 to remember the 3,500 lives lost during the conflict known as 'The Troubles.' This year's event was especially significant as it marked the 50th anniversary of 1972, the most violent year of the conflict, with 479 deaths. The Troubles, which lasted four decades, involved British forces, loyalist gunmen, and the Irish nationalist group PIRA, ending with the 1998 Good Friday Agreement. Many victims' families are still seeking justice for the deaths, which were often inadequately investigated at the time. However, there is concern that a new bill in the U.K. parliament may prevent any future possibility of addressing these grievances.

Talking Türkiye

01 Mar 2022  |  wrmea.org
The article by Jonathan Gorvett discusses the political and economic situation in Turkey, drawing parallels between the current state and the period around 2002 when the Justice and Development Party (AKP) came to power. It highlights the high inflation rates, the devaluation of the Turkish lira, and the increase in poverty and income inequality. The article also touches on the potential for political change with the rise of opposition figures like Ekrem Imamoglu of the Republican People’s Party (CHP) and the challenges they face from the current government. Concerns about President Erdogan's increasingly autocratic tendencies and the potential for a crackdown on opposition are also discussed. The article provides insights from various experts and organizations, including RDM Advisory and Koc University, and references data from Transparency International and the World Bank.

Talking Türkiye

01 Jan 2022  |  wrmea.org
Jonathan Gorvett's article 'Talking Türkiye' discusses the reopening of Varosha, a once-abandoned resort in Cyprus, following the 1974 Turkish invasion. The Turkish Cypriot leader, Ersin Tatar, has shifted from seeking reunification to advocating for international recognition of two separate states on the island. Varosha, previously a bargaining chip in reunification talks, has been partially reopened to visitors, with over 200,000 people visiting by August 2021. Tatar has invited former Greek Cypriot residents to return or seek restitution, but only as residents of the Turkish Cypriot state, which is recognized only by Türkiye. The move has been backed by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan but is opposed by Greek Cypriots who desire reunification. The article also touches on the emotional impact on former residents and the potential for the area to be developed by Turkish investors, which could further entrench the island's division.

Saudis, Iranians circle in a cautious rapprochement

05 Nov 2021  |  asiatimes.com
The article discusses the recent diplomatic engagements between Saudi Arabia and Iran, indicating a potential shift in their historically tense relationship. The meetings, held in Baghdad and New York, suggest both nations are exploring rapprochement amidst a backdrop of changing U.S. foreign policy and regional dynamics. Saudi Arabia, predominantly Sunni, and Iran, predominantly Shiite, have been at odds, particularly since the Arab Spring, which Riyadh believed Tehran was using to expand its influence. The Saudi intervention in Yemen and the changing stance of the U.S. under President Biden have further complicated matters. The article also touches on the uncertainties surrounding the JCPOA, with Iran's new hardline President Ebrahim Raisi potentially taking a tougher stance. Both countries have their reasons for seeking better relations, with Saudi Arabia looking to de-escalate tensions and Iran aiming to alleviate economic sanctions. The article quotes experts from the International Crisis Group and King’s College London, providing insights into the motivations and implications of the ongoing talks.

Talking Türkiye

01 Nov 2021  |  wrmea.org
Jonathan Gorvett discusses the various challenges facing Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, including domestic economic struggles with high inflation, a weakening currency, and rising cost of living, as well as political issues such as falling government popularity and opposition unity. Internationally, Türkiye's involvement in conflicts and tense relations with neighboring countries, particularly Greece, are highlighted. The article also touches on the Kurdish issue within Turkish politics and the implications of the Pandora Papers for Erdogan's party. Additionally, the potential for conflict over energy resources in the Eastern Mediterranean is mentioned, with reference to drilling operations by ExxonMobil and Qatar Petroleum, and a defense deal between Greece and France.

Greece Is Making a Comeback in the Eastern Mediterranean

24 May 2021  |  Foreign Policy
Greece is reasserting its diplomatic influence in the Eastern Mediterranean through active engagement with regional and international partners. Key diplomatic moves include strengthening ties with Israel, Palestine, and North African countries, as well as enhancing security partnerships with France and the United States. The article highlights Greece's strategic response to heightened tensions with Turkey, including the formation of the East Mediterranean Gas Forum and the resumption of exploratory talks with Ankara. The narrative underscores Greece's efforts to balance dialogue with military preparedness while leveraging international alliances to counter Turkish policies.

Erdogan Is Digging a Hole He Can’t Escape

28 Apr 2021  |  Foreign Policy
Kanal Istanbul, a massive infrastructure project proposed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, aims to create a new channel between the Black and Marmara seas, transforming part of Istanbul into an island. The project, estimated to cost around $20 billion, faces significant opposition due to environmental concerns and potential impacts on the Montreux Treaty, which governs naval passage through the Turkish straits. Critics, including environmentalists, Istanbul's municipal government, and retired naval officers, argue that the canal could lead to ecological damage, loss of agricultural land, and geopolitical instability. The debate over the canal has intensified amid economic challenges and regional tensions, with Erdogan's government pushing forward despite widespread opposition.

Biden Faces Troubled Eastern Mediterranean Waters

02 Dec 2020  |  Foreign Policy
The Eastern Mediterranean is fraught with tensions involving Turkey, Greece, and Cyprus, with disputes over maritime boundaries and hydrocarbon rights. The election of Joe Biden has raised hopes among Greeks and Greek Cypriots for stronger U.S. support against Turkey. Biden's approach is expected to differ from Trump's, focusing on multilateralism and alliances, particularly with the EU. However, Biden's administration will face challenges in addressing the complex regional issues, including Turkey's aggressive stance and the unresolved Cyprus conflict. The situation remains volatile, with potential turbulence in U.S.-Turkey relations.

The Latest Brexit Crisis May Save Ireland’s Shaky Coalition Government

29 Sep 2020  |  Foreign Policy
Ireland's coalition government, comprising Fianna Fail, Fine Gael, and the Green Party, faces significant challenges including ministerial resignations, internal conflicts, and the COVID-19 pandemic. The recent Brexit crisis, triggered by the UK's new legislation that breaches the withdrawal agreement, has allowed Prime Minister Micheal Martin to emerge as a national leader. However, the coalition's long-term stability is threatened by potential economic disruptions from Brexit and underlying shifts in Irish politics, highlighted by Sinn Fein's electoral success. The coalition's future is uncertain, with major decisions on border checks and the EU single market looming.

Northern Ireland Is in a Culture War. Brexit Is Making It Worse.

31 Jan 2020  |  Foreign Policy
The United Kingdom's departure from the European Union has intensified the longstanding cultural conflict in Northern Ireland between nationalists and unionists. Brexit has reignited debates over Irish unification and exacerbated identity issues, with disputes over symbols, language, and political representation. The article highlights the historical context of these cultural divisions, the impact of Brexit on these tensions, and the evolving political landscape, including the rise of nonsectarian parties. Despite some signs of change, traditional cultural identities continue to dominate Northern Irish politics.

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It Isn’t Just the Rohingya. Myanmar Is Now Attacking Buddhists in Rakhine State, Too.

31 Oct 2019  |  Foreign Policy
In Rakhine State, Myanmar, the Tatmadaw is now targeting both Rohingya Muslims and ethnic Rakhine Buddhists, leading to widespread violence and displacement. The Arakan Army, a Buddhist insurgent group, is fighting for an independent Rakhine, fueled by local resentment against the Bamar-dominated central government. The conflict has intensified, with significant casualties and humanitarian crises. The region's rich resources are being exploited by the central government and Chinese companies, further aggravating local grievances. The ongoing violence complicates efforts to repatriate Rohingya refugees and attract investment, with the situation potentially escalating into a prolonged conflict.

Northern Irish Politics Are Broken

27 Aug 2019  |  Foreign Policy
Northern Irish politics face significant challenges due to Brexit, which threatens the Good Friday Agreement that ended decades of violence. The potential for a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland raises concerns about renewed violence and smuggling. The Democratic Unionist Party and the British government oppose the backstop, which aims to prevent a hard border. The political deadlock has left Northern Ireland without a functioning government since 2017, exacerbating the region's instability. The article highlights the complex interplay between Brexit, national identity, and historical grievances, emphasizing the fragile state of peace in Northern Ireland.

Will Brexit Be the End of the United Kingdom?

29 Jul 2019  |  Foreign Policy
The article explores the potential consequences of Brexit on the United Kingdom, particularly focusing on the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. It highlights the historical context of the Troubles, the Good Friday Agreement, and the current political and economic challenges posed by Brexit. The article discusses the possibility of Irish unity as an unintended consequence of Brexit, with changing demographics and political views in Northern Ireland. It also addresses the economic risks and potential for renewed violence if a hard border is reinstated.

A Rebirth of Old Nicosia

04 Sep 2015  |  www.nytimes.com
Old Nicosia, the ancient capital of Cyprus, is experiencing a resurgence as its historic importance and neglected neighborhoods are being revitalized through redevelopment, particularly in the Greek Cypriot south. Architect Zoe Lordos, who specializes in renovating old properties, notes that historical quarters often become prime real estate, a trend now reaching Cyprus. The Old Town, rich with the legacies of various empires and cultures, is seeing its heritage buildings, listed on the government's register, become highly sought-after.

Cyprus Hopes Reunification Talks Will Revive a Resort, Population 0

01 Sep 2015  |  www.nytimes.com
Cyprus is hopeful that United Nations-sponsored reunification talks will revive the deserted resort of Varosha, which has been abandoned since the 1974 Turkish invasion. The talks, showing signs of progress, could end decades of division and bring significant economic benefits, including a potential doubling of the island's GDP. However, challenges such as compensating displaced residents and aligning economic conditions between the north and south remain. The article highlights the potential for economic rejuvenation and the complexities involved in achieving a settlement.
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