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Fuxian Yi

Madison, United States of America
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About Fuxian
Fuxian Yi is a journalist based in Madison, United States of America.
Education
Aug. 1993 - July1999: Ph.D., Hunan Medical University (XiangYa School of Medicine of Central South University in 2000), China. 
Sept. 1988 - July 1993: M.D., Hunan Medical University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Positions
1999 –2001 Postdoctoral research associate, University of Minnesota-Twin City, Minneapolis
2002– current	Scientist. 2002–2006: Assistant Scientist, 2006–2013: Associate Scientist,2013-current: Senior Scientist,  University of Wisconsin-Madison
Since 2000, he has applied medicine to demographic and economic research, initiated, and launched a campaign against China’s one-child policy, leading to its repeal in 2016. His estimates and projections of China's population and economy have repeatedly proven to be more accurate than the official ones. For example, in his 2007 book, he predicted that China’s population would decline in 2017 (Chinese officials and the UN projected it to be in 2033-34). Then, in 2019, he concluded that China’s population had already begun to decline in 2018 (one year later than his initial estimate due to the two-child policy in 2016), with a fertility rate of 1.1. However, Chinese officials and the UN predicted that the fertility rate would stabilize at 1.7-1.8, and the population would not begin to decline until 2031-32. Now, China officially acknowledges that its population began to decline in 2022, with a fertility rate of just 1.0. Data from other sources confirm Yi’s conclusion that China’s population did indeed begin to decline in 2018 and is now less than 1.28 billion, rather than the official figure of 1.41 billion.
In 2004, he predicted that 2012 would be an inflection point for the Chinese economy, with the northeast leading the decline. He predicted that China's economic center will move south and west, and China's
Languages
English Chinese (Mandarin)
Services
Content Writing Research Fact Checking
Skills
Business Finance Social
+1
Portfolio

The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan

01 Apr 2024  |  thediplomat.com
The article explores the severe demographic consequences of a potential war over Taiwan, highlighting the economic and population impacts on both China and Taiwan. It draws parallels with the demographic fallout from the Russia-Ukraine war, noting significant declines in birth rates and economic hardships. The text underscores the critical need for China, Taiwan, and the United States to seek peaceful resolutions to avoid exacerbating demographic crises and global instability.

Yi Fuxian

photo

Column on Project Syndicate

China is hurtling to a demographic disaster

05 Apr 2023  |  deseret.com
The article discusses China's impending demographic crisis, a result of its one-child policy leading to a plummeting fertility rate. This demographic structure mirrors Japan's past situation, which resulted in economic stagnation. Despite policy changes, such as the two-child policy, China has not seen a significant increase in birth rates. The article suggests that China's demographic issues are compounded by cultural shifts towards individualism and the high cost of living, which discourage marriage and childbearing. It proposes that a revival of Confucianism, with its emphasis on family and social harmony, could help counteract the demographic decline. The authors, Fuxian Yi and Brad Wilcox, highlight the importance of population sustainability for economic growth and warn of the consequences if China fails to address its demographic challenges.

Demographic Totalitarianism: How the One-Child Policy Has Influenced China

16 Mar 2023  |  dialnet.unirioja.es
The article discusses the impact of China's one-child policy on the country's demographics, exploring the long-term effects of this policy on the population and society. Fuxian Yi, the author, provides insights into how the policy has shaped China's current demographic landscape.
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